Tag: IDC

Semiconductor industry set for 20 per cent growth in 2024

The semiconductor industry is poised for a new wave of growth next year as the global demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) boosts the sales of chips for smartphones, personal computers, and infrastructure.

According to bean counters at IDC, who have added up some numbers and divided them by their shoe size, the semiconductor sales market will bounce back in 2024 with a 20 per cent annual growth rate after a 12 per cent decline in 2023.

IDC said that the market slump in 2023 was due to weak demand and low inventory levels, which were not offset by occasional short orders and rush orders in the year’s second half.

However, it expects the market to recover in 2024, driven by the strong demand for AI chips used for data processing, complex language models and big data analytics in data centres and personal devices.

IDC Asia/Pacific senior research manager Galen Zeng said memory manufacturers’ tight control of supply and output has led to rising prices from the start of November, and the demand for AI across major applications will drive the overall semiconductor sales market to recover in 2024.

Digital transformation growing

Global spending on digital transformation (DX) will reach $3.9 trillion by 2027, according to new figures from IDC beancounters.

This growth trajectory is underpinned by a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.1 per cent, IDC thunk.

While the US is poised to command a significant 35.8 per cent share of global digital transformation spending in 2023, the Asia/Pacific region (including Japan and China) closely follows with a robust 33.5 per cent share.

GenAI software and related hardware and services set to boom

Beancounters at IDC have added up some numbers and divided by their shoe size and concluded that GenAI software and related hardware and services are expected to see a massive surge in demand in the next few years.

In a new report, IDC predicts that worldwide spending on GenAI solutions will reach $16 billion in 2023 and grow to $143 billion in 2027, with a CAGR of 73.3 per cent. This is much faster than overall AI and IT spending.

IDC’s group vice president of worldwide artificial intelligence and automation market research and advisory services, Ritu Jyoti, said that GenAI is not just a hype but a game-changing technology that can transform industries and society.

PC sales may have bottomed out

Sales of PCs have continued to decline during the third quarter but may have gone as low as they can, according to the number crunchers at IDC.

IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Personal Computing Device Tracker says that the downward spiral for PC shipments continued during Q3 as global volumes declined 7.6 per cent year over year, with 68.2 million PCs shipped.

Demand and the global economy remained subdued, while PC shipments increased in each of the last two quarters. This slowed the rate of annual decline indicating that the market has bottomed out.
PC inventory is better than it has been for a while with less stock on hand.

Monitor market drops 17.1 per cent

Beancounters from IDC say that the global PC monitor market saw a year-on-year drop of 17.1 per cent during the second quarter of 2023.

The researcher said it could have been much worse and the market “slightly exceeded” expectations by reaching just over 29.9 million units.  It was still lower than pre-Covid levels.

IDC claims this is a sign that “recovery remains a work in progress” following the surge in volume witnessed from 2020 to 2022.

Top PC monitor vendor leader was the grey box shifter Dell, earning a market share of 20 per cent. TPV, HP , Samsung and Lenovo rounded up the rest of the top five.

Public cloud spending set to increase

Beancounters at IDC have added up some numbers, divided by their collective shoe size, and projected that worldwide expenditure on public cloud services will surge to $1.35 trillion by 2027.

While the pace of annual spending growth in the Public Cloud Services market is anticipated to experience a marginal decline during the period from 2023 to 2027, the market is predicted to achieve an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.9 per cent over five years.

IDC Eileen Smith Program Vice President of Data & Analytics  said organisations have widely adopted public cloud solutions as a cost-efficient means of hosting enterprise applications and facilitating the creation and deployment of consumer-centric solutions.

Global PC shipments decline

Canalys Forum EuropeGlobal PC shipments declined 13.4 percent year over year during the second quarter of 2023 (2Q23), according to preliminary results from the International Data Corporation (IDC)

According to IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Personal Computing Device Tracker this was the sixth consecutive quarter of contraction brought on by macroeconomic headwinds, weak demand from both the consumer and commercial sectors, and a shift in IT budgets away from device purchases.

However, despite the poor showing, the market performed better than forecast for the quarter, IDC said.

The overall weak demand has caused inventory levels to remain above normal for longer than expected. This includes finished systems at the channel level, as well as the supply chain.

IDC predicts more spending on clouds

Spending on compute and storage infrastructure products for cloud deployments, including dedicated and shared IT environments, increased 14.9 per cent year over year in the first quarter of 2023, according to beancounters at IDC

The IDC Worldwide Quarterly Enterprise Infrastructure Tracker: Buyer and Cloud Deployment report says that spending on cloud infrastructure continues to outpace the non-cloud segment, with the latter declining 0.9 per cent in 1Q23 to $13.8 billion.

IoT spending to rise to $227 billion

According to Beancounters at IDC, European IoT spending will climb to $227 billion in 2023, despite market uncertainty.

According to the Worldwide Internet of Things Spending Guide published by International Data Corporation (IDC). IoT-related spending is expected to expand at a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11 per cent, reaching almost $345 billion by 2027.

IoT development in Europe reflects enterprises’ evolving digital transformation investment objectives related to cost reduction, process streamlining, automation, and enhanced customer experience.

There are varying dynamics in regional markets. Central and Eastern European (CEE) organisations’ investments, for example, remain significantly below the European market average, with expected single-digit increases over the forecast period. In the last three years, many investments were put on hold in CEE, due to the various challenges related to the pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and the overall pressured macro-economic environment.

As IoT has proven to be integral to cost reduction, process optimisation, automation, and enhanced management and monitoring capabilities, IDC expects investments to accelerate by the end of the forecast period.

From an overall industry perspective, European IoT spending will be driven by investments from manufacturing, utilities, and professional services organisations.

Prominent use cases will include production asset management, distribution automation, and infrastructure for smart buildings. The fastest adoption of IoT will be seen across use cases such as irrigation management in the resources industry and fleet management in transport.

In terms of technology, modules and sensors will continue to drive IoT-related spending, followed by related services such as industrial maintenance to support the ongoing operation of device hardware (“things”), vertical business process outsourcing services, infrastructure as a service, and data as a service.

Low power wide area networks (LPWANs) will see the fastest-growing investments and will be a critical IoT area for telecom providers in the next few years. Spending on analytics software will also increase, as organisations strive to turn data collected by connection endpoints into actionable insights.

IDC’s European Data & Analytics Team research analyst Alexandra Rotaru said that due to the uncertain macroeconomic context, European organisations are expected to continue feeling pressure on budgets, with additional investments restrained in the short and medium term.

“However, IoT will remain a critical tool for improving performance and efficiency and increasing automation capabilities. It will continue to be a key investment area, helping organisations to reduce costs and enhance productivity despite challenges.”

Ethernet switch market grows

The worldwide Ethernet switch market grew revenues 31.5 per cent year over year in the first quarter of 2023 to $10 billion.

According to Beancounters at IDC the entire worldwide enterprise and service provider (SP) router market recorded $4.1 billion in revenue in 1Q23, a 14.1 per cent annual increase.

The Ethernet switch market’s growth of 31.5 per cent in 1Q23 builds on annualised growth of 3.3 per cent in 4Q22 and 19.4 per cent for the full year 2022. In 1Q23, the Ethernet switch market strengthened across the data and non-data centre segments. Revenues in the non-datacentre/enterprise campus and branch segment grew 38.7 per cent yearly, while port shipments rose 14.1 per cent. Revenues in the data center portion of the market rose 23.2 per cent year over year in the first quarter of 2023, while port shipments increased 19.7 per cent.

European software market grows

The European software market grew by 15 per cent year on year in 2022 despite economic turbulence and global instability.

According to figures compiled by IDC, this is the highest growth in the last 20 years, demonstrating the resiliency of demand for software in the face of major macroeconomic factors.

IDC said the growth was primarily driven by increased prices of software licenses (reflecting high inflation), customers locked in with existing partners, and contracts signed for longer than in previous years.

In 2023, however, the European software market is predicted to grow at “just” 11.7 per cent owing to general caution across all sectors.

Although the five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for 2022–2027 is expected to 12 per cent for the European software market overall, three main areas are predicted to grow substantially faster.

Artificial intelligence platforms has an expected CAGR of 41 per cent (reflecting a 16 times increase from 2018 to 2027), followed by integration and orchestration middleware with a CAGR of 24 per cent and software quality and life cycle tools with a CAGR of 20 per cent, IDC said..

IT spending improving

Beancounters at IDC have added up some numbers and divided by their shoe size and concluded that overall IT spending will rise 4.8 per cent to $3.27 trillion, which is a slight improvement on last month’s predictions.

IT services growth should hit almost six per cent, driven largely by enterprises remaining committed to long-term digital transformation investments, IDC thunk.

Overall software spending growth will be almost 11 per cent, driven mostly by cloud software revenues which will increase by 19 per cent. This is a slowdown from last year’s cloud software growth of 25 per cent and growth of public cloud IaaS will also slow compared to last year.

Managed services deals increase in size and value

Managed services contact deals fell in 2022 but the average deal size grew by 22 per cent, according to IDC beancounters.

The number crunchers said that there were more than 1,700 managed services deals signed last year worth more than $125 billion in contract value.

The research firm reports that despite indications of a global economic slowdown, IT spending across organisations is steadily increasing.

There was an increase in larger deal signings (total contract value (TCV) above $100 million) in 2022 compared to 2021.

IDC said that as technology is increasingly becoming the backbone of organisational growth strategies, they are seeing more and more organisations upgrading their IT infrastructure leveraging cloud, artificial intelligence, and security.

IT spending continues to fall says IDC

Beancounters at analyst outfit IDC have been adding up some numbers and reached the conclusion that IT spending worldwide is on a downward trend.

In its new monthly forecast for worldwide IT spending growth, IDC projects overall growth this year in constant currency of 4.4 per cent to $3.25 trillion

This is slightly down from 4.5 per cent in the previous month’s forecast and represents a swing from a 6.0 per cent growth forecast in October 2022.

IDC vice president Stephen Minton said that since the fourth quarter of last year, we have seen clear and measurable signs of a moderate pullback in some areas of IT spending.

“Tech spending remains resilient compared to historical economic downturns and other types of business spending, but rising interest rates are now impacting capital spending.”

After reductions to PC forecasts a month ago, IDC has now scaled back its expectations for some additional hardware categories including servers, wearable devices, and peripherals.

IDC sees expansion in security spend

Beancounters at IDC have added up some numbers and concluded that worldwide security spending will grow by 12.1 per cent to reach $219 billion  in 2023.

According to IDC’s Worldwide Security Spending Guide investments in cybersecurity hardware, software, and services should reach nearly $300 billion in 2026.

The guide pinpoints the ongoing threat of cyberattacks, the demands of providing a secure hybrid work environment, and the need to meet data privacy and governance requirements as some of the biggest drivers for this growth.